What the O28 Covariance Does and Does Not Identify

Veronese collapse in the measured trajectory span: a finite-data diagnostic, not a carrier identification.

Current Zenodo release: version 2.0 (2026-09-02). Official title: Veronese Collapse in the Measured Trajectory Span: What the O28 Covariance Does and Does Not Identify.

Overview

O28 reported an effective covariance rank $r_{\mathrm{eff}} = 3$ in the supplied three-coordinate space $H_{\mathrm{eff}}$. O29 asks what that finite-data result actually identifies.

In an extended recomputation, rank three remains modal but is not invariant: it occurs in $32/50$ stored samples at $q = 101$ and $103/105$ at $q = 211$.

The audit turns on separating three spaces that had been read as one. The measured trajectory span lies in $H_{\mathrm{eff}}$; its leading two-dimensional PCA truncation $U_c^{(2)}$ is data-dependent; and the spin-½ module $V_\rho$ is supplied elsewhere. No calculation in this paper identifies these objects with one another.

Scope statement. This page provides a structured overview. The complete technical analysis is in the preprint linked above.

Core contributions

Three results stand, each carrying its own epistemic label.

Corrected status of Test 4. Test 4 does not identify the spin-½ carrier. It reports a numerical $6 \to 3$ collapse compatible with the supplied adjoint carrier. In particular the observed value $r_{\mathrm{eff}} = 3$ cannot be inverted as $3 = d_\rho(d_\rho + 1)/2$ to infer $d_\rho = 2$.

Interpretation

The collapse diagnoses geometry within measured coordinates. It does not select a physical representation. A genuine spin-½ test still requires an independent observable and a typed bridge to $V_\rho$.

The distinction matters beyond this paper because it is the programme's recurrent failure mode: not an incorrect calculation, but an unproved identification between a measured quantity and a representation chosen elsewhere. Here the calculation stands and the identification is withdrawn.

Relation to the Cosmochrony program

O25 supplies the checkpoint trajectories, O28 the covariance measurement, O26 the minimality criterion, O23 the conditional spinor carrier, and O27 the separation between factorisation through the admissibility quotient and equivariance, together with the open vector lift.

O29 revises the O26 criterion. That criterion assumed the conjugate-pair blocks were independently distributed in $V_\rho$; for conjugate-pair data the blocks are anti-linearly related, so the target-space prediction is replaced by a carrier test on $H_{\mathrm{eff}}$. The identification chain from measured covariance to a fundamental doublet therefore remains open, and closing it is a task for an independent observable rather than for more block statistics.

Reproduction

The analysis code, its declared seeds and thresholds, and the SHA-256 sums of the checkpoint archives are committed in the paper's repository. The raw archives themselves are too large to vendor and do not yet have a public download location, so a reader who does not already hold them can verify the code, seeds and hashes but cannot regenerate the numbers from a fresh clone. Publishing that data record is a separate open task of the sub-programme.

Reference

Jérôme Beau. Veronese Collapse in the Measured Trajectory Span: What the O28 Covariance Does and Does Not Identify. Version 2.0, Preprint, Zenodo.